That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Bradley remains the last player to win in his major championship debut as he proved victorious in a playoff at the Atlantic Athletic Club over Jason Dufner 11 years ago. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. Picks K-free bet up to $1,000. The 24-year-old has never finished better than 12th in a major and his best finish at the PGA Championship was a T-30 in 2021. Mandatory Credit: Alex Gould - The Republic His consistent ball striking and history in these conditions make for a high floor and solid placement consideration this week. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. He's also shown that he can play with the big boys and has three other top-25 finishes in 2021, including finishing 18th at The Masters. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Subsequently, we wouldnt be doing our due diligence if we didnt take a hard look at PGA Championship dark horse picks and sleepers that have the game to win this week. Sleeper PGA DFS Picks Justin Suh $6,900. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) . Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Sign up for an account to get into the action today. Eventually, hell be due to bring the A-game that has fueled his four wins on TOUR to a major. Obviously, a lot has. Last week, Jordan Spieth was asked about the sneaky-best short-game whizzes on Tour. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. Hes healthy: Toward the end of last year, Champ suffered a left wrist injury, and the effects may have crept into his swing. When it comes to the weather, it's supposed to be gusty this week, so that will be something to keep an eye on. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. So how is the worlds 79th ranked player 250/1 this week? In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. . Spieths finishes since the Masters feature a win and a solo second, so his game is shaping up. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. Bland fell just short of earning a Masters invite this year, so Id love to see him have a great major week at Southern Hills. But recently, it seems he has turned the corner, especially when it comes to his mental game. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! The big concern would be driving accuracy as that could get him in trouble. The PGA Championship has become a melting pot for difficult but fair conditions as of late, and the phrase "there's no faking it" has become synonymous with the championship's setup. He's also first in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green," second in "Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green," and 22nd in "Strokes Gained: Total." Meanwhile, Berger ranks top-10 in SG:APR and scrambling from the rough but like Lowry, is a bit weaker than some other performers off the tee. Tommy Fleetwood plays from the 13th tee during the first round of the Zurich Classic of New Orleans golf tournament. Thank you, @golfodds, @lasvegasgolfer, @WesReynolds1 and @DBearmanESPN https://t.co/zMew5E3j0k. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. MORE: Four NFL QBs set to participate in "The Match" 2022. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Hatton ranks ninth in "Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green" and 20th in "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee." Two of those were playoff losses to guys who arent exactly slouches (Spieth and Scheffler). Any of the top golfers in the field could win this year's major. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Both check all of the boxes that we are looking for on the Southern Hills Country Club course. Noren thrives on and around the greens, but his ball-striking numbers are finally starting to follow suit. In fact, hes yet to finish in the top 20 with a career best of T40 at the 2021 Open Championship. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. As we make our way further down the board to find a mega-longshot, lets throw that idea directly out the window. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-pga-championship-odds-sleeper-picks-jason-day-max-homa-southern-hills/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Best golf balls for 2023 for every budget and playing style, Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Friday at Bay Hill: Jordan Spieth's putter wakes up, Jon Rahm takes a step back among notes from Day 2 at Arnold Palmer Invitational, LIV Golf reports 3.2 million viewers for opening event in Mexico, a stark difference from early reports, Photos: PopStroke by Tiger Woods opens its first location in Arizona, Putters used by PGA Tour players ranked in the top 10 in strokes gained putting, Photos: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational merchandise tent is fit for a king, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Because as Southern Hillssuperintendent Russ Myers says, getting close to the pin is the hardest part of the course. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. Im not going to overthink this. This will likely make scoring difficult. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. 1 golfer in the world, will have to face off against the rest of the world's top-10 golfers, a group that is highlighted by Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com. PGA Splits 101(great Twitter follow) used true "Strokes Gained" data from Data Golf, adjusted for field strength, and saw that Morikawa is the best ball-striker at the PGA Championship over the past 20 rounds. Were about to have a little bit more. Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO). 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. With all of this in mind, this week I'm targeting guys with good "Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee,""Driving Distance,""Strokes Gained: Approach," and "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green" metrics. He earned his first green jacket via a Masters win that was virtually wire-to-wire. All of these things put together should bode well for the European golfers who are used to playing on these courses and in these conditions. Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images. With Jon Rahm, the world No. No, hes not hurt. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. K.H. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. Why not now? 5:06 pm ET, 2023 Masters picks, field, odds, best bets, date, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Sleepers to consider for the 2022 PGA Championship, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. Finding a big-hitter with a good approach game should give us a good opportunity to find a winner on this course. Hes finished runner-up two other times this season as well (Sanderson Farms, Genesis). Yang, +100,000. Kerry Haigh, the PGA of America's chief championships officer, can be credited for the rise of the PGA Championship as it continues to climb the ranks of best majors of the season. And this is no knock against him. This course may remind Leishman a bit of some of his favorite courses back home in Australia, as it will feature firm fairways, slopey greens, heavy winds, lots of bunkers and shaved runoffs all around the greens. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. The 2019 U.S. Open champion is finally healthy after battling injuries the last two years, and his play is indicative of such. Some of the games biggest names, including Scottie Scheffler, Jordan Spieth, and Jon Rahm, have added wins to their resumes over the last few months and are ready for battle. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 3 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 2 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 1 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 4 - Singles. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. This is likely the case, but how much we should weight that metric is up for debate. Why not ride the wave early and catch Young while hes still a longshot and not offered as one of the favorites at an event like this? The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. 21+ only. Sleeper pick: Davis Riley, +25,000: Riley is striping it as well as anyone in professional golf right now. The PGA Championship tees off Thursday (May 20th) at the Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, in South Carolina Xander Schauffele has finished 6th or better seven times in his 15 Major starts Read below for analysis of the event and our favorite sleepers and longshot plays To-win: Will Zalatoris, +3,300. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. He has made the cut in all eight majors that he has played, including three top-12 finishes. Of course, that's why we are getting him at 66-1. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. In a Lone Star showdown, Spieth takes home the Wanamaker to complete the grand slam. Viktor Hovland ($9,900) - Viktor Hovland had a strong start to the new season. Enter the Tours longest hitter (323.5 yds/drive). Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee.